Friday, November 4, 2011
Risk or Uncertainty...
"
Risk is measurable uncertainty, Uncertainty is unmeasurable risk
"
Author Unknown
source
Monday, October 17, 2011
The unexpected...
"One should expect that the expected can be prevented, but the unexpected should have been expected"
Augustine Law XLV
source
Saturday, October 8, 2011
Risk Management is...
"
Risk Management is about
'failing better than anyone else
.
"
Jos Berkemeijer
source
Friday, September 30, 2011
Round numbers...
"
Round numbers are always false
"
Samuel Johnson
source
Saturday, June 25, 2011
My left brain is...
"
My left brain is always right!
"
Joshua Maggid
source
Law of High Impact...
"
In case of high Impact, Probability is irrelevant
"
Jos Berkemeijer
source
Friday, May 20, 2011
Certainty...
"
A reasonable probability is the only certainty.
"
E. W. Howe
source
Monday, May 16, 2011
Survival rate...
"On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero."
Zero Hedge
source
Sunday, May 8, 2011
Average...
"When she told me I was average, she was just being mean."
Mike Beckman
source
Sunday, May 1, 2011
Confused...
"If you are not completely confused by Risk, you do not understand it."
Jos Berkemeijer
source
Saturday, April 30, 2011
Chaos...
"Chaos is Unrecognized Order"
Jos Berkemeijer
source
Sunday, April 24, 2011
Safety...
"The dangers of life are infinite, and among them is safety."
Goethe
source
Theory or Practice...
"In theory there is no difference between theory and practice. In practice there is."
Yogi Berra
source
Predictions...
"You should never make predictions, especially about the future."
Samuel Goldwyn
source
Counted...
"Everything that can be counted does not necessarily count; everything that counts cannot necessarily be counted."
Albert Einstein
source
Saturday, April 23, 2011
Too Cautious...
"The policy of being too cautious is the greatest risk of all."
Jawaharlal Nehru
source
Learning...
"Not learning by doing, but learning by risking."
Toba Beta (Master of Stupidity)
source
Stupidity...
"Intelligence minus purpose equals stupidity."
Toba Beta (Master of Stupidity)
source
Risk Management...
"Risk Management: the art of foreseeing hindsight."
Jos Berkemeijer
source
Harbor...
“A ship is safe in harbor, but that's not what ships are for.”
William Shedd
source
Security...
"Security is mostly a superstition."
Helen Keller
source
Understand Everything...
“If you understand everything, you must be misinformed”
Japanese Proverb
source
Happy...
"Take risks: if you win, you will be happy; if you lose, you will be wise."
Anonymous
source
Risk Nothing...
"If you risk nothing, then you risk everything."
Geena Davis
source
Wait for Perfection...
"A man would do nothing, if he waited until he could do it so well that no one would find fault with what he has done."
Cardinal Newman
source
What Scares You...
"Do one thing every day that scares you."
Eleanor Roosevelt
source
In Control
"If you feel 'in control', you probably aren't."
Jos Berkemeijer
source
Under Control...
"If everything seems under control, you're just not going fast enough."
Mario Andretti
source
Going Too Far...
"Only those who will risk going too far can possibly find out how far it is possible to go."
T.S. Eliot
source
Round Numbers...
"Round numbers are always false."
Samuel Johnson
source
Judgement...
"Statistics are no substitute for judgement."
Henry Clay
source
Prove it...
"Don’t prove anything unless you know it is true."
Steve Piantadosi, Johns Hopkins
source
Risk Invisibility...
"Risk is not always apparent, but its invisibility is no longer an excuse for ignoring it"
Bankers Trust on risk management (1995)
source
Statistical thinking...
"Statistical thinking will one day be as necessary for efficient citizenship as the ability to read and write."
H.G. Wells
source
Statistical thinking...
"Statistical thinking will one day be as necessary for efficient citizenship as the ability to read and write."
H.G. Wells
source
Prediction...
"Prediction is difficult, especially the future."
Niels Bohr
source
Bad Decisions...
"An important source of bad decisions is illusions of certainty"
Kenneth Boulding
source
Change...
"There is nothing so stable as change."
Bob Dylan (1963)
source
Low Standards...
"If your standards are low enough you can never be wrong"
Frank Wilczek
source
Collapse...
"Any observed statistical regularity will tend to collapse once pressure is placed upon it for control purposes"
Charles Goodhart (1975)
source
Heading...
"If you don’t know where you are going, you’ll end up someplace else"
Lawrence J. Peter
source
Credit Markets....
"Credit markets do not function. Why not, because the word credit comes from credibility"
AIG Vice Chairman Jacob Frenkel
source
Balance sheet...
The left side of the balance sheet has nothing right and the right side of the balance sheet has nothing left. But they are equal to each other. So accounting-wise we are fine."
AIG Vice Chairman Jacob Frenkel
source
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